Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.779964 1.857625 1.937482 2.025903 2.121266 2.221241 2.334262
2025-12-21 1.649130 1.760180 1.878793 2.015581 2.169829 2.339401 2.541339
2025-12-28 1.566758 1.703762 1.854864 2.035387 2.247248 2.490661 2.795484
2026-01-04 1.469554 1.621159 1.792587 2.003250 2.258713 2.563375 2.962096
2026-01-11 1.409674 1.575542 1.767447 2.009599 2.312641 2.687613 3.200982
2026-01-18 1.366465 1.545416 1.756843 2.030293 2.382933 2.835325 3.483650
2026-01-25 1.311995 1.497709 1.720812 2.015175 2.404302 2.918977 3.686569
2026-02-01 1.255621 1.444185 1.673798 1.981772 2.397428 2.961735 3.833394
2026-02-08 1.190912 1.377080 1.605969 1.916625 2.342290 2.931479 3.866095
2026-02-15 1.146885 1.333876 1.566209 1.885674 2.330851 2.960691 3.990967
2026-02-22 1.115078 1.304643 1.542750 1.874644 2.345466 3.027465 4.181458
2026-03-01 1.080127 1.269885 1.510359 1.849329 2.337387 3.058579 4.315162
2026-03-08 1.035860 1.223507 1.463346 1.805117 2.304428 3.057020 4.407929
2026-03-15 1.011806 1.202795 1.449816 1.807234 2.340327 3.167194 4.718499
2026-03-22 0.996763 1.193317 1.450900 1.830025 2.408981 3.337440 5.174676
2026-03-29 0.966481 1.162367 1.421274 1.806651 2.404467 3.385147 5.399679
2026-04-05 0.948715 1.147519 1.413104 1.814070 2.448687 3.520947 5.837243
2026-04-12 0.935802 1.138654 1.412706 1.832727 2.512040 3.697757 6.410884
2026-04-19 0.914016 1.116796 1.392922 1.820675 2.523360 3.779535 6.782751
2026-04-26 0.888685 1.089219 1.363897 1.792842 2.505861 3.804170 7.017752
2026-05-03 0.856460 1.051197 1.318648 1.737839 2.438428 3.725003 6.962049
2026-05-10 0.834444 1.026870 1.292475 1.711651 2.419433 3.740512 7.171665
2026-05-17 0.818518 1.010623 1.277475 1.702333 2.429226 3.814992 7.570343